Home OP-ED Just How Fast Is California’s Economy Recovering?

Just How Fast Is California’s Economy Recovering?

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There are still skeptics who maintain the California economy remains in recession, that talk of economic recovery amounts to whistling past the graveyard when unemployment remains above 7 per cent.
 
Gov. Brown labeled these folks “declinists” two years ago, when unemployment was much higher and the signs of recovery were not nearly as strong as today.
 
Those signs are almost everywhere, even though a few major corporations are in the process of moving headquarters elsewhere.
 
In midsummer, California – like the rest of America –finally had gained back all jobs lost in the recession of 2007-11. The new jobs may be in different places and of somewhat different types than those that were lost, but there has been a little job growth since 2008, something that befuddles the declinists. The figures come from a report by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.

Are They Awakening?

California lawmakers are starting to realize this state has serious competition for its key industries. Other states and  foreign countries are willing to grant large subsidies to companies that move headquarters or parts of their businesses.
 
One example is the upcoming move of Toyota’s national headquarters, complete with its sparkling museum of classic cars the company has produced since the 1930s, to a Dallas suburb. Not only will Toyota get large tax reductions for at least its first eight years in Texas, but it will pay far less for the land it needs than it figures to get when it sells the land it will vacate in the Los Angeles suburb of Torrance.
 
That is standard procedure in many states. Louisiana has attracted large amounts of film and TV production not only because of its green scenery, but because production companies save as much as 30 percent of their costs by going there. That’s through a combination of subsidized hotel rates and equipment rentals, tax relief and lower-priced labor. The same happens in North Carolina, Idaho and New York.
 
The first step in California lawmakers wising up came when the Legislature during the summer expanded and extended tax exemptions for movie and TV production here. Then they passed a bi-partisan bill sponsored by Democratic Assemblyman Steve Fox and Republican state Sen. Steve Knight, both of Palmdale, giving military contractors Boeing Co. and Lockheed Martin as much as $420 million in tax credits over 15 years for production of a new strategic bomber to replace the B-2, which was also developed largely in the Antelope Valley. In case they don’t get the Defense Dept. contract for that project, another bill with the same benefit for Northrop Corp. would provide similar help – about $28 million a year, or 17 percent of wages paid to manufacturing workers.

Behind the Reluctance

There has been reluctance here to subsidize big industries, one reason California has lost a lot of them to other states and countries. There is good reason for that hesitance. Subsidies raise questions of favoritism and special interest influence. But with others offering so much, California at least now realizes it must get into this game.
 
Then there’s venture capital, where the Silicon Valley this spring absolutely dominated the world scene. Fully 41 percent of all venture dollars invested around the world from April through June went to San Francisco Bay Area startups, a big improvement from the first quarter, when Texas and Massachusetts drew significant investment.
 
Last spring, all of Europe got less than half what went to Silicon Valley, according to a report from PitchBook Data. The end result should be more companies headquartered in California, to join former startups like Google, Intel, Yelp and Twitter.
 
Put it together and you get a dynamic picture of job recovery, the prospect of great job growth and a reborn determination to preserve what the state already.
 
That’s all bad news for the declinists who enjoy putting California down even while it pulls itself back up toward the golden stature it long enjoyed.

Mr. Elias may be contacted at tdelias@aol.com. His book, “The Burzynski Breakthrough: The Most Promising Cancer Treatment and the Government’s Campaign to Squelch It,” is now available in a soft cover fourth edition. For more Elias columns, visit www.californiafocus.net